Fianna Fáil's Jim Gavin Exits from Ireland's Election Campaign
In a surprising turn of events, one of the primary contenders in the Irish presidential election has quit the contest, reshaping the political landscape.
Withdrawal Announcement Reconfigures Campaign Landscape
The party's presidential hopeful stepped down on Sunday night following reports about an unpaid debt to a previous occupant, converting the contest into an unpredictable two-horse race between a centre-right past cabinet member and an non-aligned left-leaning legislator.
The 54-year-old Gavin, a newcomer to politics who entered the race after professional experiences in athletics, flying and armed forces, quit after it came to light he had failed to return a overpaid rent of over three thousand euros when he was a property owner about 16 years ago, during a period of economic hardship.
"It was my fault that was inconsistent with my values and the principles I uphold. Corrective actions are underway," he said. "I have also thought long and hard, concerning the influence of the continuing election battle on the health of my relatives and acquaintances.
"After evaluating everything, I have decided to withdraw from the race for the presidency with right away and return to the arms of my family."
Contest Reduced to Primary Hopefuls
A major surprise in a political contest in living memory narrowed the contest to Heather Humphreys, a ex-minister who is running for the governing moderate right party Fine Gael, and Catherine Connolly, an frank pro-Palestinian voice who is supported by a political party and small leftwing opposition parties.
Challenge for Party Head
The withdrawal also caused a problem for the taoiseach and Fianna Fáil leader, Micheál Martin, who had risked his standing by selecting an unproven contender over the skepticism of associates in the party.
He commented Gavin did not want to "bring controversy" to the office of president and was justified in leaving. "He acknowledged that he was at fault in relation to an matter that has come up lately."
Political Difficulties
Despite a reputation for capability and achievements in commerce and athletics – under his leadership Dublin's Gaelic football team to five consecutive championship victories – his campaign had stumbled through missteps that caused him to fall behind in an public opinion measure even before the unpaid debt disclosure.
Party members who had opposed selecting Gavin said the episode was a "significant mistake" that would have "repercussions" – a thinly veiled warning to the leader.
Election Rules
The candidate's name may still appear for selection in the vote scheduled for October 24, which will conclude the lengthy term of Michael D Higgins, but the electorate now confronts a binary choice between a traditional center candidate and an non-aligned left-leaning candidate. Survey results prior to the withdrawal gave Connolly a third of the vote and 23 percent for Humphreys, with Gavin on 15%.
According to voting regulations, people pick candidates in order of preference. In case nobody reaches a majority in round one, the hopeful with the fewest initial choices is excluded and their votes are transferred to the subsequent choice.
Likely Support Redistribution
It was expected that if Gavin was eliminated, most of his votes would transfer to Humphreys, and conversely, increasing the likelihood that a establishment hopeful would secure the presidency for the Fianna Fáil/Fine Gael coalition.
Function of the President
This office is a primarily ceremonial position but incumbents and past holders made it a stage for international matters.
Final Contenders
Connolly, 68, from Galway, would introduce a robust progressive perspective to that tradition. She has criticized free-market policies and said the organization constitutes "a fundamental element" of the people of Palestine. She has charged Nato of militarism and likened Berlin's enhanced defense expenditure to the pre-war era, when Adolf Hitler rearmed the country.
The 62-year-old Humphreys, has faced scrutiny over her performance in government in governments that presided over a housing crisis. As a Protestant from the county Monaghan near the border, she has also been faulted for her failure to speak Gaelic but commented her faith tradition could help win over unionist community in a reunified nation.